Conf = NESCAC
Nickname = CT Cardinals Coach = John RabaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.2341309 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 A Colby NESCAC ( 6- 8, 91.5) 20-11 306 H Salve Regina NEWMAC ( 4-10, 87.1) 30- 8 310 N Roanoke ODAC (15- 6, 93.7) 23-16 312 A Stockton CLC (11- 8, 90.6) 23-10 316 A Williams NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.1) 13-10 320 H Stevens MAC-Freedom (18- 3, 95.0) 10-16 323 H Bates NESCAC ( 3-11, 90.0) 22-11 330 H Middlebury NESCAC (12- 8, 97.1) 8-15 402 H Amherst NESCAC (10- 6, 96.5) 12-11 406 A Tufts NESCAC (15- 3, 99.2) 16-14 410 A Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 7, 93.2) 9-10 413 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 7, 94.5) 17- 7 417 H Springfield NEWMAC ( 7-10, 90.9) 21- 8 420 H Bowdoin NESCAC (13- 5, 98.0) 16-12 424 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 90.7) 19-13 427 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 7, 93.2) 18-10 504 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 7, 94.5) 12- 6 505 H Middlebury NESCAC (12- 8, 97.1) 9- 7 511 H St John Fisher Empire 8 (14- 7, 93.6) 13-15
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Colby 20-11 9 4 + 2.06 306 H Salve Regina 30- 8 22 10 0.00 310 N Roanoke 23-16 7 3 + 3.56 312 A Stockton 23-10 13 5 1.11 316 A Williams 13-10 3 1 1.62 320 H Stevens 10-16 -6 2 --- -8.84 323 H Bates 22-11 11 7 0.00 330 H Middlebury 8-15 -7 0 --- -7.73 402 H Amherst 12-11 1 1 -0.33 406 A Tufts 16-14 2 -2 ++ 4.75 410 A Trinity 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.22 413 A Hamilton 17- 7 10 1 ++ 5.03 417 H Springfield 21- 8 13 6 0.07 420 H Bowdoin 16-12 4 0 ++ 4.10 424 H Connecticut College 19-13 6 7 -1.00 427 H Trinity 18-10 8 4 + 2.38 504 H Hamilton 12- 6 6 3 + 2.63 505 H Middlebury 9- 7 2 0 1.27 511 H St John Fisher 13-15 -2 4 --- -6.29UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 H Stevens 10-16 -6 2 --- -8.84 330 H Middlebury 8-15 -7 0 --- -7.73 511 H St John Fisher 13-15 -2 4 --- -6.29 410 A Trinity 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.22OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Tufts 16-14 2 -2 ++ 4.75 413 A Hamilton 17- 7 10 1 ++ 5.03 420 H Bowdoin 16-12 4 0 ++ 4.10 302 A Colby 20-11 9 4 + 2.06 310 N Roanoke 23-16 7 3 + 3.56 427 H Trinity 18-10 8 4 + 2.38 504 H Hamilton 12- 6 6 3 + 2.63
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.16 Power Rank................. 7 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 85.31 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 10 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6740 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 36 RPI Rating............... .6417 RPI Rank................... 15 Champ. Probability ...... 4.0 Championship Rank ......... 9 Selection sum ........... 64 Selection Rank ............ 21 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 80. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 5 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 25. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 13 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 16.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0